Solar market was going thru a bumpy road for the past few years. Many manufacturers had gone out of business due to negative margins caused by oversupply. After re-balancing of the market, and the Chinese, Japanese and US
markets drive strong growth, the remaining manufacturers are in positive
territory.
From traditional economic, one would expect price rebound after the market re-balanced and would never be seen the cheap modules again. This phenomenon would only happen if the module price fall was driven only by over-capacity,
but what is clear from most manufacturers is that the cost of
manufacture of solar modules will also continue to fall, and in some
cases quite dramatically.
REC Solar, one of the leading European solar companies produced graph showing solar
ability to undercut fossil fuels over the long term, because it shows
that the cost of manufacture of a solar module will fall around 20% over the year – despite the 60% to 80% falls achieved over the
previous 3 to 4 years. The same story is expected to be repeated
among many other manufacturers.
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